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Forecasting Methods Time-series modelling S-curve and diffusion models (for emerging technologies) Driver-based forecasting (GDP, disposable income, adoption rates, regulatory changes) Price elasticity models Market maturity and lifecycle-based projections Scenario Analysis Given inherent uncertainties, three scenarios were constructed: Base-Case Scenario: Expected trajectory under current conditions Optimistic Scenario: High adoption, favourable regulation, strong economic tailwinds Conservative Scenario: Slow adoption, regulatory delays, economic constraints Sensitivity testing was conducted on key variables, including pricing, demand elasticity, and regional adoption

Officials could not determine the reason for the massive increase other than in general terms, but did note that operators were forced to work overtime in some exchanges

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